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last: 6,790.75 -85.00 (-1.24 %) |
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7 ▼ |
09 BEAR 2 |
range envelopes ⓘ |
last range signal |
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timestamp: November 13, 2025 12:13 pm |
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short-term |
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range: 6,783.25 to 6,892.50 |
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intermediate |
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volume (avg):
1,043,780 (1,506,000) |
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long-term |
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trend |
stop/reverse |
trend start |
trend start date |
net change |
last signal |
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short-term |
▼ 6,852.00 |
6,852.00 |
TODAY |
-0.89 % |
TODAY |
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intermediate |
▼ 6,843.50 |
6,843.50 |
TODAY |
-0.77 % |
TODAY |
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long-term |
▲ 6,540.25 |
5,882.25 |
12-May-25 |
+15.44 % |
03-Nov-25 |
▼ E-mini S&P 500 Futures is rated BEAR 2, the second stage of a new downtrend progression in an extended bull market. The short-term and intermediate trends have both turned down but the long-term trend remains bullish. The number that must be taken out to move to the next level of bearishness is long-term trend support at 6,540.25. In a continuing long-term bull market, buyers will typically step in at or near that number—but in a strong reversal pullback, that support will eventually fail as new sellers expecting lower prices and the start of a long-term bear market emerge. 7 ▼A Top-Spotter signal was generated October 30, 2025 at 6,953.75 and confirmed November 4, 2025 at 6851. Price has declined -2.3 % since.
► The intermediate timeframe is currently in play. (Click the
'Intermediate'
tab above to see detailed intratrend signals and charting).
The chart to the right displays the current daily
price bar along with color-coded lines (green is bullish,
red is bearish) representing the three primary trends
(ST=short-term, IT=intermediate, LT=long-term). The
blue dashed line indicates the previous closing price.
| long-term strategy |
stop |
target |
| HOLD existing position |
6,540.25 |
6953.75 (resistance) |
A range top pullback is in progress below 0.00 for E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES). Aggressive countertrend short entries and exits may be managed by utilizing the
short-term stop/reverse line (enter below/exit above), which is currently located at 6,852.00. The current price of 6,790.75 is below that line so a COUNTERTREND
short trade is working here with 6,852.00 as the trailing buy-to-cover stop.
Last price of 6,790.75 is outside of the bullish ideal entry zone between 6,540.25 to 6643.75. Next target higher is 6953.75 (resistance). A trailing stop for an existing long position should now be moved up to 6,540.25 to lock in accrued profit and/or to exit on a bearish reversal below that line.
▲ The long-term trend for E-mini S&P 500 Futures turned bullish at 5,882.25 on May 12, 2025. Net change to date is +908.50 (+15.44 %). The recommended strategy is to buy only when a favorable risk/reward ratio is present, and to sell partial positions to lock in profits as upside targets are achieved. System trading bias would switch from bullish to bearish on a cross below 6,540.25
✗ risk/reward ratio: POOR -250.50 risk (-3.69%) versus +163.00 potential gain (+2.4%)
✗ ideal entry zone: 6,540.25 to 6643.75 (currently outside)
• last range envelope signal: noneon
*The long-term timeframe is of particular interest for investors, who are typically looking for a successful trade to be held for a period of months to years.
| intermediate strategy |
stop |
target |
| HOLD existing short position |
6,843.50 |
6753.75 (open weekly gap below) |
▼ The intermediate trend for E-mini S&P 500 Futures turned bearish at 6,843.50 on November 13, 2025. Net change to date is -52.75 (-0.77 %). The recommended strategy is to sell short only when a favorable risk/reward ratio is present, and to cover partial positions to lock in profits as downside targets are achieved. System trading bias would switch from bearish to bullish on a cross above 6,843.50
✗ risk/reward ratio: POOR -52.75 risk (-0.78%) versus +37.00 potential (short) gain (+0.54%)
✗ ideal entry zone: 6,843.50 to 6821 (currently outside)
• last range signal: none
*The intermediate timeframe is the domain of the swing trader, who expects a successful trade setup to generally unfold over a period of weeks to months.
| short-term strategy |
stop |
target |
| HOLD existing short position |
6,852.00 |
6753.75 (open daily gap below) |
▼ The short-term trend for E-mini S&P 500 Futures turned bearish at 6,852.00 on November 13, 2025. Net change to date is -61.25 (-0.89 %). The recommended strategy is to sell short only when a favorable risk/reward ratio is present, and to cover partial positions to lock in profits as downside targets are achieved. System trading bias would switch from bearish to bullish on a cross above 6,852.00
✗ risk/reward ratio: POOR -61.25 risk (-0.90%) versus +37.00 potential (short) gain (+0.54%)
✗ ideal entry zone: 6,852.00 to 6827.5 (currently outside)
• last range signal: none
*The short-term timeframe is the realm of the speculator, encompassing trade setups that are generally held from a single day to several weeks.
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