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last: 6,656.75 -10.75 (-0.16 %) |
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7 ▼ |
10 BEAR 1 |
range envelopes ⓘ |
last range signal |
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timestamp: September 17, 2025 1:33 pm |
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short-term |
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range: 6,650.00 to 6,675.75 |
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intermediate |
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volume (avg):
745,066 (1,267,043) |
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long-term |
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trend |
stop/reverse |
trend start |
trend start date |
net change |
last signal |
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short-term |
▼ 6,661.25 |
6,661.25 |
TODAY |
-0.07 % |
TODAY |
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intermediate |
▲ 6,537.00 |
6,487.50 |
03-Sep-25 |
+2.61 % |
12-Sep-25 |
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long-term |
▲ 6,296.25 |
5,882.25 |
12-May-25 |
+13.17 % |
10-Sep-25 |
▼ E-mini S&P 500 Futures is rated BEAR 1, the first stage of a new downtrend progression in an extended bull market. Although the short-term trend has turned down and is mildly bearish below 6,661.25, the long-term and intermediate trends remain bullish. The number that must be taken out to move to the next level of bearishness is intermediate trend support at 6,537.00. In a continuing long-term bull market, buyers will typically step in at or near that number--but in a strong pullback that support will eventually fail as new sellers expecting lower prices emerge. 7 ▼A Top-Spotter alert signal was generated September 16, 2025 at 6,696.75. Price has declined -0.6 % since. Confirmation for the current setup is a close below the signal bar low at 6661.25. Top-Spotter signals can often detect the start of a countertrend pullback or potential for reversal of the macro uptrend on the very day it happens.
► The short-term timeframe is currently in play. (Click the
'Short-term'
tab above to see detailed intratrend signals and charting).
The chart to the right displays the current daily
price bar along with color-coded lines (green is bullish,
red is bearish) representing the three primary trends
(ST=short-term, IT=intermediate, LT=long-term). The
blue dashed line indicates the previous closing price.
| long-term strategy |
stop |
target |
| HOLD existing position |
6,296.25 |
No resistance above |
A range top breakout into new long-term highs territory for E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) occurred at 6,579.75 on September 10, 2025.
A trailing stop should now be moved higher to 6,296.25 to lock in accrued profit and/or to exit on a bearish reversal below that line for an existing long position. There is no long-term
resistance detected above the current price of 6,656.75! Keep an eye on the 'last range envelope signal' below for a counter-trend pullback alert (to potentially take at least partial profit on an existing long position).
▲ The long-term trend for E-mini S&P 500 Futures turned bullish at 5,882.25 on May 12, 2025. Net change to date is +774.50 (+13.17 %). The recommended strategy is to buy only when a favorable risk/reward ratio is present, and to sell partial positions to lock in profits as upside targets are achieved. System trading bias would switch from bullish to bearish on a cross below 6,296.25
✗ risk/reward ratio: -5.42% risk (to stop/reverse line) versus unknown potential gain
✗ ideal entry zone: to 6296.25 (currently outside)
• last range envelope signal: noneon
*The long-term timeframe is of particular interest for investors, who are typically looking for a successful trade to be held for a period of months to years.
| intermediate strategy |
stop |
target |
| HOLD existing position |
6,537.00 |
No resistance above |
The intermediate stop/reverse line for E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) was moved up to 6,537.00 on September 12, 2025 to follow the bullish trend higher. Move your trailing stop up to that line now to lock in accrued profit on an existing long position.
A trailing stop should now be moved higher to 6,537.00 to lock in accrued profit and/or to exit on a bearish reversal below that line for an existing long position. There is no intermediate
resistance detected above the current price of 6,656.75! Keep an eye on the 'last range envelope signal' below for a counter-trend pullback alert (to potentially take at least partial profit on an existing long position).
▲ The intermediate trend for E-mini S&P 500 Futures turned bullish at 6,487.50 on September 3, 2025. Net change to date is +169.25 (+2.61 %). The recommended strategy is to buy only when a favorable risk/reward ratio is present, and to sell partial positions to lock in profits as upside targets are achieved. System trading bias would switch from bullish to bearish on a cross below 6,537.00
✗ risk/reward ratio: -1.8% risk (to stop/reverse line) versus unknown potential gain
✗ ideal entry zone: to 6537 (currently outside)
• last range signal: noneon
*The intermediate timeframe is the domain of the swing trader, who expects a successful trade setup to generally unfold over a period of weeks to months.
| short-term strategy |
stop |
target |
| SELL (SHORT) |
6,661.25 |
6578.50 (open daily gap below) |
A range bottom breakout has occurred for E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) at 6,661.25 TODAY. Any existing long positions in this timeframe should now be sold. A bearish breakout can
trigger significant selling as bulls are forced to exit trades and momentum sellers enter short at the first sign of breaking a bullish higher high/higher low trending pattern.
Last price of 6,656.75 is inside the bearish ideal entry zone between 6,661.25 to 6640.5. Next target lower is 6578.50 (open daily gap below). An initial
(buy-to-cover) protective stop may be set at 6,682.83 (to establish a 1:3 risk/reward ratio). That short trade exit stop should be moved progressively lower with a descending short-term stop/reverse line.
▼ The short-term trend for E-mini S&P 500 Futures turned bearish at 6,661.25 on September 17, 2025. Net change to date is -4.50 (-0.07 %). The recommended strategy is to sell short only when a favorable risk/reward ratio is present, and to cover partial positions to lock in profits as downside targets are achieved. System trading bias would switch from bearish to bullish on a cross above 6,661.25
✓ risk/reward ratio: GOOD -26.08 risk (-0.39%) versus +78.25 potential (short) gain (+1.18%)
✓ ideal entry zone: 6,661.25 to 6640.5 (currently inside)
• last range signal: none
*The short-term timeframe is the realm of the speculator, encompassing trade setups that are generally held from a single day to several weeks.
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