This User Guide is organized to introduce the nine Main Navigation Bar Links in order from left-to-right.
ⓘ If you are using a browser that does not allow the page to expand to a full 1200 pixels in width you may see a hamburger icon (three stacked horizontal lines pointed out by a green arrow on the image above). Double-click on the icon to expand the menu.
Analysis Pages are where Stops and Targets' algorithmic magic is converted into human-readable text and graphics. Individual Analysis Pages are calculated for every tracked Stock, Exchange Traded Fund (ETF), Futures Option, and Major Index...generating more than 4,000 pages of instant analysis and strategy guidance!
Clicking the Major Indexes link displays a drop-down menu displaying the four most widely-followed US stock market indexes.
The drop down menu shows six futures options choices.
Unlike the first two Main Navigation Bar links that provided drop-down menus to select new Analysis Pages, here a Text Entry Box auto-completes as you start to type either a company name or symbol. Approximately four thousand tracked symbols are accessible here, including the entire Russell 3000 Index (representing 98% of all investable US securities) and hundreds of top Exchange Traded Funds (ETF).
In the example above, typing the letters BAC produced four possible matches. The first for Bank of America's stock ticker symbol BAC, and the other three selections for company name letter matches in Ambac, Diamondback, and Tobacco.
Select the desired choice from the Text Entry Box list to view a new Analysis Page.
There are five distinct data areas that are generated on every Analysis Page. Those areas are outlined in red and numbered 1-5 on the example above.
In the next five sections we will take a detailed look at each of the outlined and numbered data areas.
Each symbol name is an active Research Hyperlink to pertinent and very useful data.
Located at the upper-left-corner on every Analysis Page, the Data Feed area contains four lines of information.
There are four Tabbed Panels (highlighted by a red rectangle in the image above). Each tab opens a dedicated panel (with an associated chart).
There are two types of Tabbed Panels.
The following Multitrend Panel and Strategy Panels sections will explain the features and information displayed on each.
The Multitrend Panel (which is always pre-selected by default) shows a complete synopsis of the overall Trend conditions, describes the current Trading Tendency, points out the most favorable Strategy panel, and also displays Spotter Signals for the selected security.
The information on this panel is arranged in five data areas (see red rectangles numbered 1-5 on the image above).
Each data area will be described in detail in the following sections.
A trend can be defined as a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) in a bullish uptrend—or conversely, a series of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) in a bearish downtrend.
Think of a trending market as a series of stair step moves. In a bullish market the steps climb higher by building a series of higher lows—and in a bearish market the steps descend by building a series of lower highs.
In a bullish market, the stop/reverse line moves up as each new higher low stair step is built. We instantly know when the uptrend has ended when the last higher low (stop/reverse line) is broken to the downside. The same is true in the opposite direction for bearish markets (for short traders) when the last lower high is broken to the upside.
Stops and Targets detects structural pivots (precise price-reversal points, which are used extensively by high-frequency trading algorithms) in three timeframes.
The table is automatically sorted by stop/reverse line price for the three trends. It is the position of the last price relative to each stop/reverse line that determines whether a trend is currently up (bullish) or down (bearish).
Many savvy investors seek to enter at or near a new trend change. To lock in profit, they will move their protective stop behind their trade as the stop/reverse line advances. It is absolutely critical to know where and when a trend begins and ends, and Stops and Targets instantly provides that precise stop/reverse line for every timeframe on every security we track!
The details for each trend are read by moving across the row, so in the Tesla example above we would say the following to a client for each trend…
All three trends are combined to determine the Multitrend Rating, and a paragraph is generated which describes the general tendencies of a security trading in this particular configuration.
ⓘ There are 10 bullish and 10 bearish ratings, of which, Bull 10 and Bear 10 indicate fully-trending bull and bear markets, respectively. The best long-term entries are found in Bull 4 and Bull 7 ratings, the best intermediate entries in Bull 2 and Bull 9, and a wide variety of short-term entries may be found in the remaining Multitrend Rating classifications.
The Multitrend Rating concept, in practical use, is very straight-forward. Let's follow the progression of a hypothetical security from BULL 1 to BULL 10.
When exhaustion occurs after the early stages of a new bull market, the depth and intensity of the ensuing pullback determines the next bullish Multitrend Rating when the bull eventually resumes its ascent. The recovery ratings after a pullback are explained in the next four levels.
Bear markets unfold in the opposite order from Bull Markets–but the principles are exactly the same...after BULL 10 comes BEAR 1 (when the short-term trend turns bearish–but the long-term and intermediate trends remain bullish), then BEAR 2, then BEAR 3, etc.
Top and Bottom Spotter Signals are displayed below the Multitrend paragraph. In the example shown above, a Top Spotter was invalidated and there are currently no active signals.
Spotter Signals are a proprietary algorithm developed by Stops and Targets to detect the potential exhaustion of an existing trend–and can identify the start of a significant pullback or trend reversal on the very day it begins.
ⓘ Spotter Signals have an absolute stop value! A valid signal will mark the exact top (Top Spotter) or the exact bottom (Bottom Spotter) of a new reversal. If the initial signal value is exceeded by price moving either above a Top Spotter or below a Bottom Spotter–the setup is immediately invalidated! Be very careful with these signals–as they are always countertrend when generated!
Stops and Targets automatically determines the Timeframe that is currently In Play.
A blue pointer arrow ► is displayed on the trend table and a red or green directional arrow is shown on the corresponding Strategy Panel for the timeframe that is In Play.
In this example, the short-term timeframe is in play and is currently bullish, so we also see a green up arrow ▲ on the short-term Strategy Panel tab.
The Chart Key describes the elements found on the Multitrend Chart, which is always displayed when the Multitrend Tab is selected.
There are three Strategy Panels, one for each of the three trends: Long-term, Intermediate, and Short-term. Each panel displays specific trading strategy and risk management details for the selected timeframe.
Strategy Panels are selected by clicking on the desired timeframe tab (highlighted in red on the example above). The short-term Strategy Panel is selected in the example above.
Each Strategy Panel contains five data blocks (highlighted and numbered in the image above).
The following sections describe each.
The Strategy Table, located at the top of each Long-term, Intermediate, and Short-term Strategy Panel, contains three columns: strategy, stop, and target, which are the three essential pieces of information you absolutely need to know to pursue a disciplined trading strategy.The Strategy Table table is color-coded.
The first column displays the recommended strategy for the selected timeframe (in this case short-term).
The second column on the Strategy Table shows the initial protective stop (and a trailing profit stop when applicable).
The protective stop for a new trade is automatically calculated to risk exactly 1 unit of potential loss per each 3 units of potential profit for a 1:3 risk to reward ratio, which is considered by many professional traders to be an excellent risk management strategy. A trader can lose three times for every one win and still preserve precious trading capital.
The protective stop number is determined by first measuring the potential gain from the last price to the next target, which is 24.33 (291.42 – 267.09 = 24.33). Stops and Targets then divides the potential gain by three to determine the initial risk, which in the example above is 8.11 (24.33 / 3 = 8.11). The initial risk is then subtracted from the last price to establish the protective stop at 258.98 (267.09 – 8.11).
As a successful trade moves in your favor and begins to trend, Stops and Targets will generate a trailing profit stop, which will be automatically moved as new trending stair-steps are built to lock in progressively higher levels of profit until the trend eventually ends and reverses. That is what the second stop at 246.01 is doing in the example above for profitable trades entered at BUY signals generated lower in this current trending move.
The third column displays the next target price, along with the target type (in parenthesis). The target price is where profit can be taken on a successful trade using the current strategy. In certain circumstances (for example: after a breakout to a new all-time high) the message ‘no target detected’ will be displayed.
The strategy signals section (outlined in red on the example above) describes the parameters that Stops and Targets is using to generate the current strategy. It contains three lines of data.
This line shows the signal type, price, and date of the last signal within the currently-selected timeframe.
The ideal entry zone is the price range where the risk/reward ratio is 1:3 or better for a trade from the last detected event to the next target.
A GOOD signal, along with the initial risk and potential gain for the trade setup, appears on this line when the last price is within the ideal entry zone. POOR is shown when the last price is outside of the ideal entry zone. If no target is detected, N/A is displayed.
Different terms are sometimes used interchangeably by traders to describe the same concept. A risk/reward ratio is the same as gain/risk ratio…except the numbers are reversed. So, a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio is the same as a 3:1 gain-to-risk ratio.
The Recommended Strategy paragraph displays details for the suggested trading strategy at the last price. The strategy is instantly updated when the browser page is refreshed and new data is received.
This paragraph describes the current trend and shows detailed performance metrics for the selected timeframe.
The last paragraph on each Strategy Panel describes the time that a successful trade in the selected timeframe is typically held.
The Range Envelopes Indicator displays three columns of data.
There are two types of charts shown in Stops and Targets.
A Candlestick Price Bar is used on both types of charts to quickly and efficiently show the trading day's high and low price, and the open-to-last price direction.
A candlestick price bar is composed of the body (drawn as either a red or green rectangle), and a shadow (drawn as a thin, black, vertical line).
The Multitrend Chart is designed to provide a big picture overview of the selected security–in the minimum possible time. An experienced Stops and Targets user can assess large amounts of essential information about a security in a quick glance, including:
...that would be a lot of information to process by only reading text—but it all takes just a few seconds using a visual chart representation.
All the data on the chart is augmented and enhanced by the accompanying Multitrend Panel. In the example above, we can quickly see the original start price for the long-term trend was at 31.50. The current long-term stop/reverse line is now sitting at 181.40 (nice!) so TSLA has been a very good investment for those who entered at the Stops and Targets trend change Strategy Signal back on November 16, 2012 and then advanced the trailing profit stop as the trend progressed.
Just as with the Multitrend Chart (which was described in the preceding topic), the Strategy Chart has been optimized to display a very large amount of information in the shortest possible amount of time. However, where the Multitrend Chart was optimized to show trend information—the Strategy Chart is optimized to show the trading strategy for a specific timeframe.
At a glance, a user can quickly discern the following information from a Strategy Chart.
Target lines are also color-coded, but can appear as either broken or solid depending on the target type and the trend direction.
In a trending market, those broken lines will eventually be overtaken on a breakout.
A solid target line signifies that the odds for a significant pullback (or reversal) are increased when touched by price.
Eventually, price will breakout through confirmed support or confirmed resistance.
In the Tesla example above, the solid red target line indicates confirmed resistance is located at 291.42.
The Strategy Chart provides an at-a-glance visualization—and the accompanying Strategy Panel supplies the specific details needed to help you make well-considered investment strategy decisions.
The reports located in each link will be described in the next three sections.
The Signals Matrix drop-down menu contains links to six End of Day Reports.
Each End-of-Day Report is described in the sections that follow.
Signals Matrix Summary
The Signals Matrix Summary report is the first place to visit after receiving the End of Day E-Mail (which notifies you that the Signals Matrix has been updated shortly after the market close) .
Any number or symbol that is colored blue links directly to the underlying detailed analysis report.
As your eyes move across the page, from top-left to bottom-right, you will see ten blocks of related data that can be grouped into four types.
Let's take a closer look at each block of information.
End of Day Summary
For more details on any of the five displayed metrics click on the blue linked report titles.
Index and Futures Spotters are added to the bottom of the list (underneath Confirmed Bottom Spotters) when detected (note: there are no Index or Futures Spotter Signals in the example above).
Click the blue title links for more details on that particular Spotter Signal type.
In the example above, there were unanimous Index and Index Futures Options Alerts (DOW, SPX, NASDAQ, RUA, ES, NQ, YM) that were confirmed by a whopping 1123 Russell 3000 Bottom Spotters, which helped to sniff out a particularly tricky (double-bottom) broad market turn in early 2016.
Savvy traders watch the Spotter Alerts looking for large numbers of Index and Index Futures Options Alerts (on the last line under Spotter Alerts) along with large numbers of correlating Russell 3000 Spotters (the top four lines) to detect impending major market turns.
Top/Bottom Five Industry Groups
The blue Industry Groups link opens a detailed Industry Groups sub-report.
Russell 3000 Trend Metrics
There are four sections in each timeframe block. The top two sections show the distribution between bullish and bearish trends and the bottom two sections show the top five bullish and top five bearish trend leaders. The block layout is identical in the Intermediate and Short-term timeframes.
In the above example, we can see at a glance that the Long-Term Trend for the Russell 3000 is currently 70% bullish (2,060 symbols) and 28% bearish (813 symbols). There were 6 new Long-term Bullish Trend Changes and 2 new Long-term Bearish Trend Changes (symbols: ATHX, and LKQ). The bullish trend leader in the long-term timeframe is FIZZ, up 10,838% since the trend change was signaled. The bearish trend leader is ADPT, down 99% since the last long-term trend change signal.
Exchange Traded Funds Trend Metrics
See the Russell 3000 Trend Metrics explanation just above.
To produce this report, approximately 4,000 tracked symbols (see list: here:) have been meticulously analyzed in three timeframes (requiring millions of calculations). The results are presented here in a clever hierarchical organization so that you can quickly drill down from a broad but extremely precise overview to very specific trade setup details. No matter what your particular trading style and preferences are—this resource will enable you to find exactly what you want in just three mouse clicks!
The Buy/Sell Signals report (see screenshot above) displays seven columns of information.
The first column displays the Multitrend Rating type. This table is sorted from a fully-trending bull market rating of Bull 10 at the top to fully-trending bear market rating of Bear 10 at the bottom. To learn more about Multitrend Ratings please click here.
The Subtotal column shows the number of securities classified by each Multitrend Rating type. In the example above, there are 1254 individual securities rated Bull 10 and 329 securities rated Bear 10.
The Distribution column shows the percentage of securities currently in each Multitrend Rating type. This information is useful to quickly see the 'lump in the snake'–or where large groups of securities are currently clustered. That visualization helps to better understand the overall broad market trend configuration.
Securities whose last price is currently inside of an Ideal Entry Zone are sorted and listed by Multitrend Rating type. This column is a great place to find potential trend-following trading opportunities.
Symbols showing Countertrend buy/sell signals are listed in this column. These are higher-risk trading setups that are opposite to the present trend direction and should therefore be used with caution. Large numbers of Countertrend Signals can sometimes foreshadow a broad market reversal.
Each Multitrend Rating type tends to favor trades placed in a particular timeframe. The Dominant Trend column shows which timeframe is favored for each Multitrend Rating type. This is useful information to know because sophisticated high-frequency trading algorithms and professional traders tend to seek out and exploit higher-odds trades depending upon the current market configuration (Multitrend Rating).
The last column provides a short description of the characteristics associated with each of the twenty Multitrend Ratings.
There are twenty possible reports that can be generated from this column. These signals will always be in the direction of the trend—in other words, only Buy signals for Bull 1 through Bull 10 ratings and only Sell signals for Bear 1 through Bear 10 ratings.
This report is fully-sortable by any column header and includes includes multiple Signal Types (see Last Event column).
The Bull 4 Buy Signals example above is organized into twelve columns.
The bold headings in the column list above are discussed in the sections that follow.
This report is initially sorted and ranked in descending order by the gain-to-risk-ratio (see last column titled G/R Ratio).
Ticker Symbols in the second column link directly to that symbol's Analysis Page.
The sixth column from the left shows abbreviations for the type of signal that was generated at the most recent price interaction with any support or resistance lines.
The Stop location may be either protective (full position exit if crossed) or partial (partial position exit to lock in profits) depending upon the trending characteristics of the equity. See the Analysis Page (by clicking on the blue symbol name in the first column) for more details on suggested trading stop placement–which can be different than the system stop under certain circumstances.
If a target is detected that value is displayed in this column. Targets are the next trading objective where at least partial profits may be taken on a successful trade.
When a target has been detected this column displays the potential gain, expressed as a percentage, between the Close price and the next Target.
When a target has been detected this column displays the potential risk, expressed as a percentage, between the Close price and the Stop price.
The Gain to Risk Ratio is determined by dividing the potential gain by the initial stop risk.
There are twenty possible reports that can be generated from this column. These signals will always be in the OPPOSITE direction of the trend—in other words, only CT Sell signals for Bull 1 through Bull 10 ratings and only CT Buy signals for Bear 1 through Bear 10 ratings.
In this example, the report has returned all short-term countertrend trade setups in a fully-trending Bull 10 Multitrend rated market. This report is fully-sortable by any column header and includes includes multiple Signal Types (see Last Event column).
The column layout on this report is identical to the Trending Signals report.
There are also complete rankings for; Long-term Bearish, Intermediate Bullish and Bearish, and Short-term Bullish and Bearish trends. The table format is the same for each timeframe. Click on any of the other five links at the top of the page (highlighted by a red rectangle) to navigate to another timeframe/trend ranking.
Each report has an identical layout consisting of:
…and ten columns of fully-sortable information (by clicking on the column header).
In the Long-term Bullish Trend Rankings example above, the title bar indicates there are currently 2,079 securities in a long-term bullish uptrend.Rank
Securities are ranked by Net% Gain and sorted in descending order. The top-ranked security for the long-term in the example above was Synergy Resources, which was up 11,320% (Net%) at 11.42 (Close). The long-term buy signal was generated at .10 (Trend Start Price).Symbol
The ticker symbol of each ranked security is displayed in the first column. When any blue-colored symbol is clicked, a separate browser window will open with that symbol’s Analysis Page.Description
The name of the company is displayed in this column.Industry
The Industry Group classification for each symbol is displayed in the third column.MT Rating
The current Multitrend Rating is shown in the fifth column.Spotter
All active Spotter Signals are shown. A blue exclamation point next to a colored Spotter Signal indicates that a new signal was generated at the most recent close.
The most recent day’s closing price is shown.Trend Start
The price where the original entry signal for the selected timeframe was generated is displayed.Trend Start Date
Shows the date of the original entry signal for the selected timeframe.Net
The current net percentage of change, since the original entry price, is shown in the last column. The table is sorted by this percentage change number in descending order (highest to lowest).
The layout here is identical to the Russell 3000 Long-term Trend Rankings described above, except the rankings here are for all tracked Exchange Traded Funds. Use the links at the top of the page (highlighted by a red rectangle) to view other ETF Timeframe/Trend reports.
There are six links across the top of every Single Days Stats page: Advancers, Decliners, Unusual Volume, New Highs, New Lows, and Industry Groups.. The following screenshots show each linked report.
The total number of advancing issues is shown on the title bar. In the example above there were a total of 775.
The total number of declining issues is shown on the title bar. In the example above there were a total of 2657 (compared to 775 advancers on an overall bearish day in the market).
This report is initially sorted using volume percentage by default–but like all reports it may be sorted by clicking on any column header. For example, sorting using the Industry column header can give clues about where volume activity was concentrated on the day.
Industry Groups are a Classification Method for grouping individual stocks or companies based on common lines of business. It is very useful to know which sub-industry groups are leaders and laggards and this chart allows sorting by any of the ten columns.
Each day at the market close, Stops and Targets generates a new list of very aggressive counter-trend buy and sell setups for the next trading session.
Combining a new unconfirmed Spotter signal with break of first support (in an uptrend) or resistance (in a downtrend) these signals can generate spectacular very short-term moves after a strongly trending stock reaches momentum exhaustion and then retreats in the opposite direction of the trend due to profit-taking.
Preferred picks are designed to be quick-hitters for nimble counter-trend traders and will almost always powerfully rebound in the direction of the trend after the first counter-trend profit target is reached. Savvy traders can often initiate excellent trend-following entries in the strongest stocks by entering new trades at the counter-trend profit target and then riding the squeeze of the counter-trend traders who missed the exit.
Those stocks that do not resume the previous trend after the target is hit can morph into excellent home-run picks when a new trend change occurs in conjunction with a confirmed spotter signal.
Preferred Picks are always selected from among the strongest trending stocks in the market and when large numbers reverse without recovery it can be an excellent harbinger of a potential major trend reversal for the broad market.
Rarely do these stocks disappoint for volatility and explosive moves. Have fun!
There is a button at the bottom of each Preferred Picks page with additional guidance on how best to employ these signals for both counter-trend and trend-following traders.
Spotter Signals are a proprietary algorithm developed by Stops and Targets to detect the potential exhaustion of an existing trend–and can identify the start of a significant countertrend pullback or major trend reversal on the very day it begins. Mature Spotter Signals (Reversal Buy and Reversal Sell) can also be used as trend continuation signals to re-enter in the direction of the trend.
There are eight possible Spotter Classifications, represented by the eight columns in the table above; four are bearish (Top Spotter, Top Spotter Confirmed, Reversal Sell, and Bottom Spotter Invalidated) and four are bullish (Bottom Spotter, Bottom Spotter Confirmed, Reversal Buy, and Top Spotter Invalidated).
A Spotter Signal transitions through four phases during its life cycle.
The following sections explain each phase.
A Spotter Alert can detect the start of a countertrend pullback or the potential for a reversal of the current trend on the very day it happens. There are two types of Spotter Alerts.
Spotter Alerts have two parts—the initial detection signal and then a Confirmation on a subsequent day to validate the Spotter Alert setup. Not all Spotter Alerts are followed by a valid confirmation–and a signal will be immediately invalidated if price trades above a Top Spotter Alert or below a Bottom Spotter Alert on any subsequent day.
There are two parts to generating a Confirmed Spotter signal—the initial Spotter Alert setup and then a follow-through Confirmation.
For a Spotter to be Confirmed there must be a closing price on a subsequent day that is:
Once a Spotter signal is Confirmed, the odds increase greatly for a countertrend pullback to at least the closest stop/reverse line, which is shown on the Multitrend Panel and Multitrend Chart.
A Reversal/Trend Continuation signal is generated when a recent countertrend Spotter Signal has been invalidated and a preexisting Spotter Signal from the opposite direction reasserts control. Spotter Reversals are always trend-following signals and can be an excellent way to enter in the direction of the dominant Multitrend rating.
A Reversal Buy signal is generated when a recent Top Spotter has been invalidated and a preexisting and currently valid Bottom Spotter reasserts control. On the Strategy Panel for the symbol, the existing Bottom Spotter value has replaced the now-invalidated Top Spotter.
A Reversal Buy signal can be a powerful momentum buying opportunity, where bearish countertrend speculators who sold-short near what may have appeared to be a high are now forced to cover those short positions, which can exacerbate buying pressure.
The opposite is true for a Reversal Sell signal, which is generated when a recent Bottom Spotter has been invalidated and a preexisting and currently valid Top Spotter reasserts control. On the Strategy Panel for the symbol, the preexisting Top Spotter value has replaced the now-invalidated Bottom Spotter.
A Reversal Sell signal can be a powerful momentum short-selling opportunity, where bullish countertrend speculators who bought near what may have appeared to be a low are now forced to liquidate those long positions, which can exacerbate selling pressure.
Spotter Alert signals represent an absolute stop value, which means that a valid Spotter Alert will be the exact top or the exact bottom of a reversal. If price exceeds the Spotter Alert value on any subsequent trading day–that alert is immediately and permanently Invalidated.
If a Top Spotter signal is Invalidated (by price exceeding the signal bar high) and there is no existing valid Bottom Spotter, then all Spotter references are removed from the Multitrend Panel for that symbol.
If a Bottom Spotter signal is Invalidated (by price exceeding the signal bar low) and there is no existing valid Top Spotter, then all Spotter references are removed from the Multitrend Panel for that symbol.
You can add any combination of symbols to your Personalized Watchlist by entering a symbol or company name in the symbol entry box in the upper left corner. It is also quick and easy to remove symbols from your watchlist by using the gear icon to the left of each symbol.
All trends and signal events are updated at the end of each trading day–and all data on the table is fully-sortable by clicking on any column heading. Informative tool tips are available by simply hovering the mouse over any area of interest. In the example above, hovering the mouse over a CS1 abbreviation in the Last Events column displays a tool tip with details about that particular setup.
The End of Day Email Alert provides a convenient snapshot view of the day's net change, Multitrend Rating, Strategy Signals, and Spotter Alerts for the three major broad market indexes (Dow Jones Industrials, S&P 500 Index, and the NASDAQ Composite Index).
The End of Day Email Alert also includes new Strategy and Spotter alerts for all symbols in your Personalized Watchlist.
A great thing about the End of Day Email Alert is that you don’t have to log in every day to Stops and Targets to check on your portfolio if you don’t want to. Stops and Targets will keep an eye on your holdings and let you know if there are any significant changes that need to be investigated. When an alert signal is generated, simply click on the blue ticker symbol link to go right to the Analysis Page from your email.
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